If the US Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to maintain the trend of the US dollar exchange rate, we will face China's world factory, driving cost increases, and global inflation will not decrease.
The increase in the proportion of loans in China this year will contribute to the outlook for 2023, which may prompt China in 2024 to follow up the expectation of raising interest rates.
At that time, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB may exceed a record low, and the slowing economic indicators indicate that the interest rate policy of various countries will change or greatly reduce the possibility and speed.
Structural economic problems are happening.
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